FX.co ★ GBP/USD Forecast for April 16, 2025

The British pound continues to rise according to our previously outlined scenario (see reference), heading toward the magnetic point at 1.3311, which is the intersection with the upper boundary of the ascending price channel on the daily chart.

The target date for reaching this level is April 17, the European Central Bank's rate decision date. This meeting will likely be the week's key event, with a potential surprise from the central bank. We cannot rule out a more aggressive rate cut in the context of the "tariff war."

On the four-hour chart, the price has consolidated above the 1.3184–1.3208 target range. The Marlin oscillator appears to be consolidating, but it has been gently declining over the past two days. Once the price hits the target level, this could form a reversal pattern. We expect a rise to 1.3311 and will then watch how the market reacts to the ECB decision.