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FX.co ★ Mexican Peso Pauses Rally

Mexican Peso Pauses Rally

The Mexican peso remained stable at approximately 17.39 per US dollar, halting its upward momentum near the strongest levels observed since mid-2024. This stabilization occurred amidst a global reduction in risk appetite triggered by renewed US trade rhetoric, as well as the market's digestion of recent domestic labor data. The unemployment rate was recorded at 2.4% in December, marking its lowest point since the same month last year. This data highlights the continued robustness of the labor market and domestic demand, reinforcing expectations for a cautious yet relatively hawkish stance from the Bank of Mexico. The central bank’s approach, characterized by careful easing after reducing the policy rate to 7.00% in December and signaling a gradual, data-driven path forward, has sustained an appealing real yield differential, thereby maintaining strong foreign interest in peso-denominated assets. On the international front, the peso's stability has been further supported by a weaker US dollar, which has been affected by political and trade uncertainties, along with renewed tariff threats, collectively easing pressure on the Mexican currency.

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