FX.co ★ EUR/USD: jednoduché obchodné tipy pre začiatočníkov na 9. februára (americká seansa)

Analýza obchodov a tipy na obchodovanie s eurom

A test of the 1.1857 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had already moved far above the zero line, which limited the pair's upward potential. The second test of this level took place when MACD was in the overbought area, which allowed Sell Scenario No. 2 for the euro to be implemented. As a result, the pair declined by only 10 points.

The record-high reading of the Sentix Investor Confidence Index supported further strengthening of the euro against the dollar and prevented the realization of Sell Scenario No. 2. Such a significant beat versus expectations indicates growing optimism among financial market participants regarding the outlook for the Eurozone economy. A Sentix value of 4.2 points is particularly important, as it reflects both the current assessment of conditions and expectations for the future. This highlights that investor confidence is supported not only by current positive signals, but also by prospects they see in the near term. Nervousness around the dollar and Trump's aggressive policies are also contributing to capital inflows and rising optimism among European investors.

In the second half of the day, market participants' attention is likely to focus on statements from Federal Reserve officials. Comments from Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic are of particular interest. Market participants will closely analyze any signals regarding the regulator's future steps on interest rates. Of special value will be the Fed representatives' assessments of the current state of the economy, inflation dynamics, and growth forecasts, as these factors form the basis for monetary policy decisions. Traders expect to gain a clearer understanding of the Fed's vision for future developments and which factors will be key in further interest rate cuts.

Pokiaľ ide o intradenné obchodovanie, plánujem postupovať na základe scenárov č. 1 a č. 2.

Nákupný signál

Scenario No. 1: Today, buying the euro is possible if the price reaches the 1.1879 level (green line on the chart), with a target of growth toward 1.1906. At 1.1906, I plan to exit the market and also sell the euro in the opposite direction, targeting a move of 30–35 points from the entry level. A strong rise in the euro can only be expected after weak economic data.Important! Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just starting to rise from it.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to buy the euro today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.1855 price level when the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downward potential and lead to a reversal upward. Growth toward the opposite levels of 1.1879 and 1.1906 can be expected.

Predajný signál

Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro after the price reaches the 1.1855 level (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1825, where I plan to exit the market and immediately buy in the opposite direction, aiming for a move of 20–25 points back from that level. Pressure on the pair will return in the event of strong economic data.Important! Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline from it.

Scenario No. 2: I also plan to sell the euro today in the event of two consecutive tests of the 1.1879 price level when the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a downward market reversal. A decline toward the opposite levels of 1.1855 and 1.1825 can be expected.

Čo je na grafe

• Tenká zelená čiara ‒ vstupná cena, za ktorú môžete kúpiť obchodný nástroj.
• Hrubá zelená čiara ‒ odhadovaná cena, pri ktorej môžete nastaviť take profit alebo manuálne vybrať zisky, pretože ďalší rast nad túto úroveň je nepravdepodobný.
• Tenká červená čiara ‒ vstupná cena, pri ktorej môžete obchodný nástroj predať.
• Hrubá červená čiara ‒ odhadovaná cena, pri ktorej môžete nastaviť take profit alebo manuálne vybrať zisky, keďže ďalší pokles pod túto úroveň je nepravdepodobný.
• Indikátor MACD ‒ dôležitý pri identifikácii prekúpených a prepredaných zón s cieľom urobiť rozhodnutie o vstupe na trh.

Dôležité. Začínajúci forexoví obchodníci by mali robiť rozhodnutia o vstupe na trh veľmi opatrne. Aby ste predišli prudkým cenovým výkyvom, je najlepšie nevstupovať na trh pred zverejnením dôležitých fundamentálnych správ. Ak sa rozhodnete obchodovať počas zverejňovania správ, vždy nastavte príkazy stop, aby ste minimalizovali straty. Bez príkazov stop môžete rýchlo prísť o celý svoj vklad, najmä ak nevyužívate money management a obchodujete veľké objemy.

Nezabúdajte, že na úspešné obchodovanie potrebujete jasný obchodný plán, ako je napríklad ten, ktorý je uvedený vyššie. Prijímanie spontánnych obchodných rozhodnutí na základe aktuálnej situácie na trhu je pre intradenného obchodníka vo svojej podstate stratová stratégia.